Remodeling Market Index Slows After Four-Year High

November 1st, 2011 by DWM Magazine

The current state of the national economy continues to affect the remodeling industry, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders’ (NAHB) Remodeling Market Index (RMI). The index dropped to 41.7 in the third quarter from 43.9 in the second quarter, after having reached a four-year high of 46.5 in the first quarter. An RMI below 50 indicates more remodelers report that market activity is declining than report it is increasing.

The overall RMI combines ratings of current remodeling activity with indicators of future activity, like calls for bids. In the third quarter, the RMI component measuring current market conditions fell to 43.0 from 44.8 in the previous quarter. The RMI component measuring future indicators of remodeling business declined as well, to 40.4 from 43.0 in the last quarter.

“Remodelers report that while many consumers show interest in having remodeling work done, they are slow to commit to projects,” says NAHB Remodelers Chairman Bob Peterson, CGR, CAPS, CGP, a remodeler from Ft. Collins, Colo. “Consumers are in a ‘wait and see’ mode with regard to current economic conditions.”

All three components measuring current market conditions decreased in the third quarter: major additions to 45.2 (from 46.2 in the second quarter), minor additions to 45.7 (from 48.5) and maintenance and repair to 37.1 (from 38.4). Future market indicators decreased as well: calls for bids to 45.4 (from 49.8), amount of work committed for the next three months to 29.9 (from 32.3), backlog of remodeling jobs to 43.0 (from 45.7) and appointments for appraisals to 43.3 (from 44.2).

Regionally, current remodeling market conditions shrank in two areas: the Northeast to 43.9 (from 48.1 in the second quarter) and the West to 40.9 (from 48.2). Increases were seen in the Midwest at 46.8 (from 44.4) and the South at 47.1 (from 42.9). Future market indicators fell in all regions, except for the South, where it edged up to 42.2 from 41.6 in the second quarter.

“The current economic instability continues to affect consumer confidence, therefore we have seen a drop off in remodeling activity for the last two quarters,” said NAHB chief economist David Crowe. “In order for the remodeling market to pick up, home owners need to have access to less restrictive lending requirements and see their economic future stabilizing.”

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