Collins, the Trend Tracker

M&A, Expansion and Closure Activity

Jul 6th, 2009 | By DWM Mag | Category: Collins, the Trend Tracker

Our recent analysis of activity in the door and window industry shows that plant closings and bankruptcies have slowed and merger and acquisition (M&A) activity continues at a reasonable clip. Plant expansions peaked in 2006 at 28 separately reported expansion projects. By 2008, that number had fallen to 12 expansions. We predicted last year [...]



M&A in an Environment of Recovery

May 31st, 2009 | By DWM Mag | Category: Collins, the Trend Tracker

Regardless of whether you think the recovery will be long and shallow or more rapid, as recoveries have been in the past, signs point increasingly to the beginning of a recovery. Interestingly, the motivations behind the search to acquire other companies remain largely the same as they were during the go-go period the market enjoyed [...]



The Sky is Not Falling

May 4th, 2009 | By DWM Mag | Category: Collins, the Trend Tracker

If you lean out the nearest window (or door), you’ll hear the sound of the sky not falling. In rereading some of my publications over the last year, I have to acknowledge that I’ve been calling the start of the bottom for quite some time. So I’m an optimist, sue me. Now, though, if conditions [...]



The Impact Real Estate Has on a Company (and Vice Versa)

Apr 6th, 2009 | By DWM Mag | Category: Collins, the Trend Tracker

In my last blog, I discussed the ways in which troubled companies are valued by the market. Now I’d like to explore the ways in which the value of a company and the value of its underlying real estate affect each other.One of the most obvious ways in which real estate can impact the value [...]



The Value of a Troubled Company

Mar 3rd, 2009 | By DWM Mag | Category: Collins, the Trend Tracker

Since there are currently a larger than normal number of financially troubled companies in the door and window industry, I thought it would make sense to discuss the drivers of valuation for a troubled company that may seek to be sold. First, though, let’s look at the valuation of a company that is not troubled [...]



Survey of Manufacturing Company CFOs

Feb 2nd, 2009 | By DWM Mag | Category: Collins, the Trend Tracker

I recently read the results of Bank of America’s 2009 CFO Outlook, which is an annual survey of some 600 chief financial officers of manufacturing companies (most of which are privately held with less than $200 million in revenue). As with most economic outlooks today, there was no shortage of negative opinions. The average [...]



Trade Show Do’s and Don’t’s

Jan 12th, 2009 | By DWM Mag | Category: Collins, the Trend Tracker

With the International Builders Show coming up, I thought I’d share some thoughts regarding getting the most out of a trade show like this. One of the basics is to remember your business cards. I’ve met scores of people at trade shows who had forgotten theirs. The reason to bring a business card is to [...]



Three Calls Everyone Should Make Today

Nov 24th, 2008 | By DWM Mag | Category: Collins, the Trend Tracker

In the interest of being timely, I’m going to steal a little thunder from an upcoming installment in my three-part series of DWM articles regarding what businesses should do to navigate this environment. In a soft market like this, it is critical to keep generating new business. So what exactly is it that we should [...]



The Implications of Businesses Closing

Nov 3rd, 2008 | By DWM Mag | Category: Collins, the Trend Tracker

There have been a series of announcements lately regarding door and window companies closing. If we look at these situations through the most rigidly capitalist lenses, such closings are probably positive for the industry in the long term. They are representative of the types of activities that we predicted in the process of capitulation that [...]



Thoughts on the Unfolding Financial Crisis

Oct 13th, 2008 | By DWM Mag | Category: Collins, the Trend Tracker

In the last several weeks, the unwinding financial crisis has been competing with the upcoming birth of my daughter for my full attention. Since the first mention of the $700billion bailout package, we’ve all become a somewhat numb to the magnitude of the problem. Despite my admittedly distracted attention to these issues, several thoughts have [...]